CHECK-Sim: Cultural HEritage ChecK-up Simulation model

摘要

In Italy there are almost 20,000 cultural towns, 40,000 castles and gardens, 3,000 museums, 10,000 churches, 200 archaeological sites and a considerable number of old libraries and archives. Italy owns the largest number of world heritage (49 out of the 981 UNESCO list). These cultural resources represent an essential factor for the Italian tourism industry and in general for the national economic system. Italy needs to distribute over the year its tourist offer. Except for the art cities like Rome, Florence or Venice, the Italian tourism today is mainly concentrated on the so called "beach tourism" (seaside travelling in summer time). Therefore it is more and more necessary to promote cultural heritage as an essential source to attract tourists throughout the whole year rather than to focus only for the seaside beauty. Being aware of the economic importance and the complexity level of the cultural tourism process, recently there have been a lot of research initiatives focused on the different aspects of the problem. The paper aims to describe a research work, in progress, where the objective is to study the risk analysis and the decay process of the "movable" (transportable) artwork (objet d'art) due to different reasons: aging & preservation location; natural & criminal events; inappropriate restoration and finally transportation & exhibition time. Monitoring the state of an artwork is a complex process. The presence of many endogenous and exogenous variables which interact each other through different feedback loops creates non-linearity. The restoration process analysis represents the main subsystem of a System Dynamics (SD) model which has been developed and includes the characteristics of the artwork type under examination with relative fixing time period together with the workforce (restoring team) years' experience. Different risk elements (pollution, vandalism, natural events ...) are taken into account and a cost-benefit analysis is also elaborated. A first version of a microworld SD simulation model has been developed and some interesting results will be presented. The prototype model presently is configured on the paper sculpture artwork (paper mache).