Evolution and simulation analysis on the population of Han and Minority groups in China

摘要

In this paper, Chinese was divided into two groups of Han and Minority groups. First, population trends of both groups were estimated by a simple discrete exponential growth model. Second, population trends of both groups were simulated and analyzed by Logistic model based on 2000–2010 census data and sample survey data. All models were evaluated and analyzed. The conclusions were whether it was the Han population or minority population, perhaps in a thousand years, their population number could be a qualitative change, but in five hundred years it could not be appeared that minority population is more than the Han.