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PRICE EVALUATION IN NUCLEAR POWER INDUSTRY: MODELING AND COMPUTATION

机译:核电行业价格评估:建模与计算

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An economic and mathematical model for evaluating the nuclear electricity price is proposed, provided the reported costs of all production stages of the nuclear fuel cycle (NFC) are represented. As compared to known pricing models applicable for power generation (plant LCOE models, providing a least-cost generation alternative for complex market models), influences of uncertainties have been reduced due to representation of the integral nuclear-energy complex (NEC) as multiproduct and multiresource production system. The methodology exploits the Leontief's interproduct balance model with specific matrix structure, and the technological features of a closed-loop NFC were factored in. The price properties of the modified Leontief's model have been used for price evaluations. We presume the nuclear power plant (NPP) fixed assets estimates and the reliable prognostic data of the NEC performances are to be available on the annual basis. Conceivable variations of technological parameters can easily be employed to proceed with sensitivity analysis. The sensitivity of the nuclear electricity price with respect of fixed assets cost has been specified through the 'production price' basics and the defining value of the NPP capital cost share has been confirmed, as compared to the working capital impact including the fuel cost value.
机译:提出了评估核电价格的经济和数学模型,提供了核燃料循环(NFC)所有生产阶段的报告的报告。与适用于发电的已知定价模型相比(工厂LCoE模型,为复杂的市场模型提供最低成本的替代品),由于整体核能复合物(NEC)作为多份制的表示,不确定的影响已经减少了多渠源生产系统。该方法利用具有特定矩阵结构的Leontieie的交换平衡模型,并考虑了闭环NFC的技术特征。修改的Leontief的模型的价格属性已被用于价格评估。我们假设核电站(NPP)固定资产估计数,并且NEC表现的可靠预后数据将在年度基础上提供。可以容易地使用技术参数的想到变化来进行敏感性分析。核电价格对固定资产成本的敏感性已经通过“生产价格”基础知识,并与包括燃料成本价值的营运资金的影响相比,确认了NPP资本成本份额的定义价值。

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