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Discovering Cyclic Causal Models with Latent Variables: A General SAT-Based Procedure

机译:发现具有潜在变量的循环因果模型:基于SAT的常规过程

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We present a very general approach to learning the structure of causal models based on d-separation constraints, obtained from any given set of overlapping passive observational or experimental data sets. The procedure allows for both directed cycles (feedback loops) and the presence of latent variables. Our approach is based on a logical representation of causal pathways, which permits the integration of quite general background knowledge, and inference is performed using a Boolean satisfiability (SAT) solver. The procedure is complete in that it exhausts the available information on whether any given edge can be determined to be present or absent, and returns "unknown" otherwise. Many existing constraint-based causal discovery algorithms can be seen as special cases, tailored to circumstances in which one or more restricting assumptions apply. Simulations illustrate the effect of these assumptions on discovery and how the present algorithm scales.
机译:我们提出了一种非常通用的方法来学习基于d分隔约束的因果模型的结构,该约束是从任何给定的一组重叠被动观测或实验数据集中获得的。该过程既允许定向循环(反馈循环),也可以包含潜在变量。我们的方法基于因果路径的逻辑表示,它允许整合相当普遍的背景知识,并使用布尔可满足性(SAT)求解器进行推理。该过程是完整的,因为它用尽了有关可以确定存在或不存在任何给定边缘的可用信息,否则返回“未知”。可以将许多现有的基于约束的因果发现算法视为特殊情况,以适应一种或多种限制性假设的情况。仿真说明了这些假设对发现的影响以及本算法如何扩展。

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