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Estimating the Deviation from a Molecular Clock

机译:估计与分子时钟的偏差

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We address the problem of estimating the degree to which the evolutionary history of a set of molecular sequences violates a strong molecular clock hypothesis. We quantify this deviation formally, by defining the "stretch" of a model tree with respect to the underlying ultrametric tree (indicated by time). We then define the "minimum stretch" of a dataset for a tree and show how this can be computed optimally in polynomial time. We also present a polynomial-time algorithm for computing a lower bound on the stretch of a given dataset of any tree. We then explore the performance of standard techniques in systematics for estimating the deviation of a dataset from a molecular clock. We show that standard methods, whether based upon maximum parsimony or maximum likelihood, can return infeasible values (i.e. values for the stretch which cannot be realized on a tree), and often under-estimate the true stretch. This suggests that current approximations of the degree to which data sets deviate from a molecular clock may significantly underestimate these deviations. We conclude with some suggestions for further research.
机译:我们解决了估计一组分子序列的进化史违反了强的分子钟假设的程度的问题。我们通过定义模型树的“拉伸”来定制这种偏差,通过定义相对于底层的超空间(按时间表示)。然后,我们为树定义数据集的“最小拉伸”,并显示如何在多项式时间内最佳地计算。我们还介绍了一种用于计算任何树的给定数据集的延伸的下限的多项式算法。然后,我们探讨了系统中标准技术的性能,以估计数据集从分子时钟的偏差。我们展示了标准方法,无论是基于最大定义还是最大可能性,都可以返回不可行的值(即,在树上无法实现的延伸的值),并且经常估计真正的延伸。这表明数据集偏离分子时钟的程度的当前近似可能显着低估这些偏差。我们结束了一些进一步研究的建议。

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