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A Stock Market Trend Prediction System Using a Hybrid Decision Tree-Neuro-Fuzzy System

机译:一种股票市场趋势预测系统,使用混合决策树 - 神经模糊系统

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Stock market prediction is of great interest to stock traders and applied researchers. Main issues in developing a fully automated stock market prediction system are: feature extraction from the stock market data, feature selection for highest prediction accuracy, the dimensionality reduction of the selected feature set and the accuracy and robustness of the prediction system. In this paper, an automated decision tree-adaptive neuro-fuzzy hybrid automated stock market trend prediction system is proposed. The proposed system uses technical analysis (traditionally used by stock traders) for feature extraction and decision tree for feature selection. Selected features are then subjected to dimensionality reduction and the reduced dataset is then applied to the adaptive neuro-fuzzy system for the next-day stock market trend prediction. The proposed system is tested on four major international stock markets. The results show that the proposed hybrid system produces much higher accuracy when compared to stand-alone decision tree based system and ANFIS based system without feature selection and dimensionality reduction.
机译:股票市场预测对股票交易员和应用研究人员来说非常感兴趣。开发全自动股票市场预测系统的主要问题是:特征提取来自股票市场数据,特征选择以获得最高预测精度,所选特征集的维度降低和预测系统的准确性和鲁棒性。本文提出了一种自动决策树自适应神经模糊混合自动股票市场趋势预测系统。建议的系统使用技术分析(传统上使用的股票交易股)用于特征选择的特征提取和决策树。然后对所选特征进行维度降低,然后将还原数据集应用于用于下一天股票市场趋势预测的自适应神经模糊系统。拟议的系统在四个主要的国际股票市场上进行了测试。结果表明,与基于独立决策树的系统和基于ANFIS的系统相比,所提出的混合系统产生更高的精度,而无需特征选择和维度。

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