Construction of the Early-warning Systems with Debt Risk Indexes for the Local Government and Demonstration Analysis: Take State of Yunnan Province for Example

摘要

In this paper, on the basis of previous studies derived the local government debt risk assessment model, established risk prediction methods by using BP artificial neural network model, and analyzed this method through an example. So provide a set of scientific method to evaluate the local government debt risk and predict the short-term risk. This is useful for adoption effective means to control of the local government debt risk.