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Road Development, Agglomeration and Agricultural Growth in Ethiopia: an Empirical Analysis

机译:埃塞俄比亚道路发展,集聚与农业增长的实证分析

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This paper uses spatial econometrics to empirically examine a conceptual framework for ruralaccessibility that encompasses three interlinked components – 1) physical road access, 2) provision oftransport services, and 3) access to markets. Specifically, we investigate linkages among roaddevelopment, transport service provision, market access, and agricultural development in Ethiopia. Theanalysis is based on cross-sectional data of cereal crop production (teff, maize and wheat) in three ofEthiopia‟s main agricultural regions (Amhara, Oromia, and Tigray). The empirical estimation, using asystem of equations approach to account for potential endogenous relationships among agriculturalproduction, road placement, transport service provision, and urban agglomeration, provides evidence thatall three components of rural accessibility have potential significant impacts on agricultural production.At Ethiopia‟s current stage of development, we find that 1) road network development appears tosignificantly correlate with agricultural productivity; 2) transport service provision and market accesseach respectively have less impact on agricultural productivity, partially due to their low levels ofdevelopment; and 3) the impacts of road development appear to vary by road quality and by crop.
机译:本文使用空间计量经济学来实证检验农村的概念框架 无障碍包含三个相互联系的组成部分– 1)物理道路访问; 2)提供 运输服务,以及3)进入市场。具体来说,我们调查道路之间的联系 埃塞俄比亚的发展,运输服务提供,市场准入和农业发展。这 分析基于以下三个国家的谷物作物生产(特夫,玉米和小麦)的横断面数据 埃塞俄比亚的主要农业地区(阿姆哈拉,奥罗米亚和提格里)。实证估计,使用 方程系统解释农业之间潜在的内生关系 生产,道路布置,运输服务提供和城市群化提供了证据,表明 农村无障碍环境的所有三个组成部分都将对农业生产产生潜在的重大影响。 在埃塞俄比亚的当前发展阶段,我们发现1)道路网络的发展似乎 与农业生产率显着相关; 2)运输服务的提供和市场准入 它们各自对农业生产率的影响较小,部分原因是它们的农业生产水平较低。 发展; 3)道路发展的影响似乎因道路质量和作物而异。

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