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NON PARAMETRIC PROBABILISTIC APPROACH OF ICE LOAD PEAKS ON SHIP HULLS

机译:船体冰负荷峰值的非参数概率方法。

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Due to its complex phenomenon, ice-induced load process could not be physically possible to be modeled by a specific well established probabilistic model. Therefore, a non parametric approximate probabilistic approach should be performed based on the available data. This paper describes the procedure and also the extrapolation to get the short term and long term extreme values. Comparison with the classical approach, where the initial distribution of ice-induced load is assumed to be one of the well established probabilistic models, was made. The comparisons discussed in this paper were explored by using the same available data of full scale measurement on board a coastal guard vessel KV Svalbard during the winter 2007. There was a tendency that the non parametric approach produces more conservative results.
机译:由于其复杂的现象,在冰上诱发的载荷过程在物理上无法通过特定的公认的概率模型进行建模。因此,应基于可用数据执行非参数近似概率方法。本文介绍了获取短期和长期极值的过程以及推断方法。与经典方法进行了比较,在经典方法中,冰荷载的初始分布被认为是公认的概率模型之一。本文所讨论的比较是通过使用2007年冬季在海岸警卫队KV Svalbard船上使用的相同的满量程测量的可用数据进行探索的。非参数方法趋于产生更为保守的结果。

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