首页> 外文会议>Transportation and Development Institute congress;TDI Congress 2011 >Geographically-Weighted Regression Models for Improved Predictability of Urban Intersection Vehicle Crashes
【24h】

Geographically-Weighted Regression Models for Improved Predictability of Urban Intersection Vehicle Crashes

机译:地理加权回归模型可改善城市交叉口车辆撞车的可预测性

获取原文

摘要

Most of current intersection vehicle crash models are calibrated using global regression analysis methods that are often inaccurate in crash predictions as some localized crash contributing effects are not explicitly addressed. This paper employs the Geographically-Weighted Regression (GWR) technique to calibrate statistical models for predicting intersection injury, property damage only (PDO), and total crashes using data on 245 intersections in City of Chicago for period 2001-2008. In the calibrated GWR models, factors contributing to intersection vehicle crashes identified include major and minor road daily traffic, number of major and minor road through and left-turn lanes, and household income level. The analysis of variance (ANOVA) test reveals that improved model predictability is achieved from all crash models developed using the GWR technique compared with those models calibrated based on the Ordinary Least Squares (OLS) technique. The Monte Carlo test identifies significance of spatial variability of explanatory variables in the GWR models.
机译:当前的大多数交叉路口车辆碰撞模型是使用全局回归分析方法校准的,该方法通常在碰撞预测中不准确,因为未明确解决某些局部碰撞的影响。本文使用地理加权回归(GWR)技术来校准统计模型,以使用2001-2008年期间芝加哥市245个交叉路口的数据来预测交叉路口伤害,仅财产损失(PDO)和总车祸。在校准的GWR模型中,确定的导致交叉路口车辆撞车的因素包括主要和次要道路的日常交通量,通过和左转车道的主要和次要道路的数量以及家庭收入水平。方差分析(ANOVA)测试表明,与基于普通最小二乘(OLS)技术校准的那些模型相比,使用GWR技术开发的所有碰撞模型均实现了改进的模型可预测性。蒙特卡洛检验确定了GWR模型中解释变量空间变异的重要性。

著录项

相似文献

  • 外文文献
  • 中文文献
  • 专利
获取原文

客服邮箱:kefu@zhangqiaokeyan.com

京公网安备:11010802029741号 ICP备案号:京ICP备15016152号-6 六维联合信息科技 (北京) 有限公司©版权所有
  • 客服微信

  • 服务号