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Calibration of an Agent Based Model for Financial Markets

机译:基于代理的金融市场模型的校准

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摘要

Agent based model are very widely used in different discipline. In finan cial markets they can explain very well known features called stylized facts and fit statistical properties of data. For such a reason in predicting future price movements they could perform better than standard models using gaussianity. At this scope cal ibration and validation in order to choose the model and the model parameters are very essential issues. However calibrating such models is a hard issue to tackle and not yet very well considered in literature. The present paper presents the attempt to calibrate the Farmer Joshi model by a Nelder Mead algorithm with threshold. Different objective function are considered in order to identify the best choice.
机译:基于代理的模型在不同学科中得到了广泛的应用。在金融市场中,他们可以解释非常著名的特征(称为程式化事实)并拟合数据的统计属性。因此,在预测未来价格走势时,它们可能会比使用高斯性的标准模型更好。在这个范围内,选择模型和模型参数的校准和验证是非常重要的问题。然而,校准这样的模型是一个很难解决的问题,并且在文献中还没有得到很好的考虑。本文提出了通过带阈值的Nelder Mead算法来校准Farmer Joshi模型的尝试。为了确定最佳选择,考虑了不同的目标函数。

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