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Materiel development program technical risk evaluation method based on grey relevancy degree

机译:基于灰色关联度的物料开发程序技术风险评估方法

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摘要

After characteristic analyzing of materiel development project technical capabilities, this paper defines a quantitative technical risk assessment method based on grey relevancy degree. Firstly, a set of technical capability character parameters of materiel development project and their values are retrieved by technical capability characters analyzing. Then, by task targets breaking down, every sub-task targets and their corresponding supporting techniques of exiting materiel projects and developing one are finding out. At last, a technical risk evaluation model is established with analogy theory through calculating the relevancy degree to compared projects.
机译:通过对物资开发项目技术能力的特征分析,定义了一种基于灰色关联度的定量技术风险评估方法。首先,通过技术能力特征分析,获取了装备开发项目的技术能力特征参数集及其取值。然后,通过分解任务目标,找出退出子项目并开发项目的每个子任务目标及其相应的支持技术。最后,通过类比理论,通过计算与被比较项目的关联度,建立了技术风险评价模型。

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