首页> 外文会议>2011 45th Annual Conference on Information Sciences and Systems >Joint electrical load modeling and forecasting based on sparse Bayesian Learning for the smart grid
【24h】

Joint electrical load modeling and forecasting based on sparse Bayesian Learning for the smart grid

机译:基于稀疏贝叶斯学习的智能电网联合电力负荷建模与预测

获取原文

摘要

Electrical load modeling and forecasting are critically important in the electrical network and smart grid. The sparse Bayesian Learning (SBL) algorithm can be utilized to model and forecast the electrical load behavior. The SBL algorithm can solve a sparse weight vector with respect to a kernel matrix for modeling electricity consumption. However, traditional SBL can only handle an electricity consumption record of one user at a time period. In this paper, we propose a joint SBL algorithm to model and forecast multi-users electricity consumption at multiple time periods. The spatial and historical similarity in multi-users electricity consumption records are exploited and integrated in the joint SBL algorithm for accurate prediction and good modeling. Experimental results based on real data show that the proposed joint SBL algorithm can produce much better prediction accuracy than the traditional SBL algorithm.
机译:电力负荷建模和预测在电网和智能电网中至关重要。稀疏贝叶斯学习(SBL)算法可用于对电气负载行为进行建模和预测。 SBL算法可以求解相对于内核矩阵的稀疏权重向量,从而对电力消耗进行建模。但是,传统的SBL一次只能处理一个用户的用电记录。在本文中,我们提出了一种联合SBL算法,可以对多个时间段内的多用户用电量进行建模和预测。利用多用户用电记录中的空间和历史相似性,并将其集成在联合SBL算法中,以进行准确的预测和良好的建模。基于真实数据的实验结果表明,所提出的联合SBL算法比传统的SBL算法具有更好的预测精度。

著录项

相似文献

  • 外文文献
  • 中文文献
  • 专利
获取原文

客服邮箱:kefu@zhangqiaokeyan.com

京公网安备:11010802029741号 ICP备案号:京ICP备15016152号-6 六维联合信息科技 (北京) 有限公司©版权所有
  • 客服微信

  • 服务号