A new model for medium-long term economic prediction two-level and auto-regressive algorithm of GMDH based on Logistic model

摘要

This paper proposes a two-level and autoregressive algorithm of GMDH based on Logistic model (two-level and AR of Iog-GMDH model) aimed at medium-long term economic prediction on the basis of predecessors, and presents the concrete steps about it and also realizes this algorithm with the aid of MATLAB on the computer. Besides, this paper completes the empirical research based on the prediction of Hainan province's GDP. The empirical research verifies the proposed modeL