首页> 外文会议>Canadian multidisciplinary road safety conference >EFFECTIVENESS OF TRANSFERRED COMMUNITY-BASED, MACRO-LEVEL COLLISION PREDICTION MODELS IN ROAD SAFETY IMPROVEMENT PROGRAMS
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EFFECTIVENESS OF TRANSFERRED COMMUNITY-BASED, MACRO-LEVEL COLLISION PREDICTION MODELS IN ROAD SAFETY IMPROVEMENT PROGRAMS

机译:道路交通安全改进计划中基于社区的转移宏碰撞预测模型的有效性

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Across the globe there is an increasing injury problem caused by traffic collision frequencies.This is being largely caused by a growing gap between transportation demand and networkcapacity due to limited available resources. As such, it is increasingly important for roadauthorities to have tools to aid them in efficiently allocating available road safety resources. Onesuch tool is the use of a black spot program to identify, analyze, and remedy hazardouslocations. Micro-level collision prediction models (CPMs) have traditionally been used but ofteninvolve numerous case studies and extensive time. As an alternative, it has been suggested thatmacro-level CPMs be used in region-wide black spot programs as a pro-active approach to roadsafety improvement programs (RSIPs). However, as shown by Lovegrove and Sayed, asignificant collision database is required to generate the necessary models. As a result,Khondaker proposed that models be transferred from one municipality to regions that do nothave sufficient data. This study investigates the effectiveness of applying transferred models toa black spot program for the City of Kelowna (COK). The results suggest that transferred macrolevelCPMs can be effectively used in road safety analysis to complement traditional RSIPs.Several Collision Prone Zones (CPZs) were identified and ranked for diagnosis and four werecarried forward through a full case study.
机译:在全球范围内,交通事故频发引起的伤害问题日益严重。 这主要是由于运输需求和网络之间的差距越来越大所致 由于可用资源有限而导致容量不足。因此,对于道路越来越重要 当局拥有可帮助他们有效分配可用道路安全资源的工具。一 这种工具是使用黑点程序来识别,分析和补救危险 位置。传统上使用了微型碰撞预测模型(CPM),但通常 涉及大量案例研究和大量时间。作为替代方案,有人建议 宏观CPM用于区域范围的黑点计划,作为道路的积极方法 安全改进计划(RSIP)。但是,如Lovegrove和Sayed所示, 需要大量的碰撞数据库来生成必要的模型。因此, 孔德克(Khondaker)提议将模式从一个城市转移到不 有足够的数据。这项研究调查了将转移模型应用于 基洛纳市(COK)的黑点计划。结果表明,转移的宏观水平 CPM可以有效地用于道路安全分析,以补充传统的RSIP。 确定了几个碰撞易发区(CPZ)并对其进行诊断排名,其中四个 通过完整的案例研究来进行。

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