PREDICTION OF WEATHER RELATED DELAYS IN THE CONTINENTAL UNITED STATES

摘要

This paper presents models relating national delay, center level delays and weather. The method used traffic data during the spring and summer over a three-year period in the United States. The results indicate: (a) the method for estimating the delay at the national level can be extended to estimate delay at the regional level, (b) the estimation of national delay as the sum of regional delays produces a national delay estimate of comparable accuracy, while providing insights into differential impacts of regional weather on delays, and (c) the national delay can be estimated accurately by observing the behavior of 5 or 6 prominent centers.