Study on Risk Assessment of Investment Project Decision Based on Fuzzy Comprehensive Evaluation

摘要

Investment project decision is the key to the whole investment,and thus a proper investment decision guarantees the project success. In this paper, a risk assessment index system, including project internal risks, project external risks and project feasibility risks, is presented for investment project decision. Each index weight is determined with Analytic Hierarchy Process(AHP) method, and the corresponding risk assessment model is established by using the multiple fuzzy comprehensive evaluation. An example is given to illustrate the specific application of the model. Empirical example shows that the model is convenient to calculate with better generality and serviceability. It is an efficient risk assessment method in investment project decision.