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The Delaying BP Algorithm Apply and Research in the Flood Forecast

机译:延迟BP算法在洪水预报中的应用研究。

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The article present the principle of the ANN briefly in the application of the flood forecast and analyze the shortcoming that the appliance in the flood forecast of the BP method exist and bring forward flood forecast means of the improvement of the BP method. Applying the BP model that possess the delaying function, establishing the delaying neural net work, enhancing the function on ANN and adopting the adding movement means make the web constringency easily. In the researching, we apply MATLAB and VB in the computer formality and exploit the system on the base of the BP in flood forecast. The achievement has been applied in the flood forecasting system of Wenyuhe Reservoir in Shanxi Province. Applying in the practice present that the improved delaying BP means can advance the precision of the forecast and obtain the content precision. And it brings positive effect on the water resource of Wenyuhe reservoir. The application of system has obtained economical and social effect. It is the key problem of ANN modeling that how to confirm networks structure. ANN has been successful research for the application of flood forecast. But there is much study to do in confirm networks structure and building the networks model of much more according with hydrology disciplinarian. The delaying BP algorithm has its characteristic in the design of networks structure. The result applied in the flood forecast of wenyuhe reservoir show the method is effective. The result that the delaying BP algorithm applied in the flood forecast of wenyuhe reservoir show the method is effective.
机译:文章简要介绍了人工神经网络在洪水预报中的应用原理,分析了BP法在洪水预报中的应用存在的不足,提出了改进BP法的洪水预报手段。应用具有延迟功能的BP模型,建立延迟神经网络,增强ANN的功能,并采用加法运动的方法,可以使Web收敛更加容易。在研究中,我们将MATLAB和VB应用于计算机形式上,并在洪水预报的基础上开发了基于BP的系统。该成果已应用于山西省文鱼河水库洪水预报系统中。在实际中的应用表明,改进的延迟BP手段可以提高预测的精度并获得内容的精度。对温榆河水库水资源具有积极作用。该系统的应用取得了经济和社会效果。如何确定网络结构是人工神经网络建模的关键问题。人工神经网络在洪水预报中的应用已经取得成功的研究。但是根据水文学科,在确定网络结构和建立更多网络模型方面还有很多工作要做。延迟BP算法在网络结构设计中具有其特点。文玉河水库洪水预报结果表明,该方法是有效的。将延迟BP算法应用于文鱼河水库洪水预报中的结果表明,该方法是有效的。

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