首页> 外文会议>International conference of the System Dynamics Society >IMPROVING CAUSAL MAPPING PRACTICE USING THE SYSTEM DYNAMICS ‘FRONT-END’ TOOL
【24h】

IMPROVING CAUSAL MAPPING PRACTICE USING THE SYSTEM DYNAMICS ‘FRONT-END’ TOOL

机译:使用系统动力学“前端”工具改善因果映射实践

获取原文

摘要

Causal loop diagrams are graphical aids for depicting hypotheses about causality andfeedback mechanisms. Though widely used, causal loop diagramming has significantlimitations. Causal loop diagrams can contain numerous untested assumptions aboutcausality.This paper demonstrates how causal loop diagramming practice can be made morerobust. The proffered technique described in this paper suggests how we might improvethe ways we contemplate cause and effect. Applying the technique, and using the tool,offers new opportunities for testing assumptions about multi-factorial causal influences.The paper suggests that our first attempts at building remedial strategies for complexsystemic problems might be completed without building quantitative stock and flowmodels. The paper demonstrates how causal loop diagrams can be kept free of errorsin logic. It also raises a number of important issues regarding the ways we viewcombinations of potentially confounding causal influences, and identifies the need forfurther research in this area.
机译:因果关系图是图形化的辅助工具,用于描述有关因果关系和 反馈机制。尽管使用广泛,但因果循环图具有重要意义 局限性。因果回路图可能包含许多未经检验的假设 因果关系。 本文演示了如何使因果循环图实践更加有效 强壮的。本文介绍的提供技术建议我们如何改进 我们思考因果关系的方式。应用该技术并使用该工具, 为检验有关多重因果影响的假设提供了新的机会。 该论文表明,我们为构建复杂的补救策略而进行的首次尝试 系统性问题可能会在没有建立定量库存和流量的情况下完成 楷模。本文演示了如何使因果循环图保持无误 在逻辑上。这也引发了许多有关我们看待方式的重要问题 潜在的混杂因果影响的组合,并确定需要 在这方面的进一步研究。

著录项

相似文献

  • 外文文献
  • 中文文献
  • 专利
获取原文

客服邮箱:kefu@zhangqiaokeyan.com

京公网安备:11010802029741号 ICP备案号:京ICP备15016152号-6 六维联合信息科技 (北京) 有限公司©版权所有
  • 客服微信

  • 服务号