Eco-Eco-System Dynamics

摘要

The United Nation's promotion of Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) requires researchers and practitioners involved in planning and policy making to take fuller account of dynamic interactions. Rio '92 and the Millennium Declaration supported "integrated assessment models" for long-term policies. Most work still relies on conventional economic relations (e.g. Stern Report) that monetize some environmental and social variables, but are unclear about the dynamics of natural resources essential for economies and societies. The global economic ecosystem's complexity requires an integrated, multidisciplinary, systemic approach to make sustainability policies. System Dynamics provides an ideal basis for such models by incorporating real world causal relations, cross-sector effects, change in resource stocks, and long-term effects of continuing business as usual compared to the effects of assumptions about environmental shifts and new policies More extensive use of it is needed to give politicians an integrated long-term outlook by incorporating the interactions between the economy, society, and ecosystem so they can generate sustainable policies. System dynamic modeling must address these relations more completely; convince more people to use these models; and convey the results to politicians. The Millennium Institute's Threshold21 model includes analysis of SDGs and sustainable development strategies --a major step towards eco-eco system dynamics.