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Oil Transport Alternatives from the Caspian Sea

机译:里海的石油运输替代品

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摘要

According to the International Energy Agency (IEA), the oil production in the Caspian region may reach 3.9 million barrel a day in 2010. The estimated early production in the region will reach 1 million barrel a day in a few years. That means, this giant oil production must be transported to the market. The most suitable and the cheapest way of oil transportation is pipeline. Because of that, several pipelines will probably be constructed in the Caucasian region . But building long distance pipelines takes long time. However, in few years, the Bosphorus can not handle the potential shipping volumes from the Caspian region. The limitations of the Bosphorus are not suitable to allow that huge transportation. Therefore, step by step, different alternatives should be used. The transportation of the Caspian production can be divided into stages related to short term, middle term and long term: 1. Oil through the Bosphorus strait using tankers from the existing Baku- Novorossisk pipeline and the Baku-Supsa pipeline (short term solution). 2. Oil across Trakia (Kiyikoy-Ibrice /Turkey) after 3 years (middle term solution). 3. Oil through Baku-Ceyhan pipeline (long term solution) The paper has highlighted on the middle term solution and it is suggested that feasibility studies should be carried out soon to prepare for the increased production from the Caspian Sea.
机译:根据国际能源署(IEA)的数据,里海地区的石油产量到2010年可能达到每天390万桶。该地区的早期产量估计在几年内将达到每天100万桶。这意味着必须将这种巨大的石油生产运输到市场。石油是最合适,最便宜的运输方式。因此,在高加索地区可能会修建多条管道。但是,建立长距离管道需要很长时间。然而,几年来,博斯普鲁斯海峡无法处理来自里海地区的潜在运输量。博斯普鲁斯海峡的局限性使其无法进行如此庞大的运输。因此,应逐步使用不同的替代方法。里海生产的运输可分为与短期,中期和长期有关的阶段:1.使用现有巴库-新罗西斯克管道和巴库-苏萨管道的油轮,通过博斯普鲁斯海峡的石油(短期解决方案)。 2. 3年后(中期解决方案),在特拉基亚(Kiyikoy-Ibrice /土耳其)上注油。 3.通过巴库-杰伊汉(Baku-Ceyhan)管道输油(长期解决方案)本文强调了中期解决方案,建议应尽快进行可行性研究,以准备增加里海的产量。

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