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Bayesian Learning, Day-to-day Adjustment Process, and Stability of Wardrop Equilibrium

机译:贝叶斯学习,日常调整过程,以及衣柜均衡的稳定性

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In this study, we assume that drivers under day-to-day dynamic transportation circumstances choose routes based on Bayesian learning and develop a day-to-day dynamic model of network flow. This model reveals that a driver using Bayesian learning chooses the route that frequently takes the minimum travel time. Furthermore, we find that the equilibrium point of the day-to-day dynamic model is identical to Wardrop's equilibrium. Under complete information (when information about which route takes the minimum travel time is given after the trips), Wardrop's equilibrium is globally asymptotically stable and the day-to-day dynamic system converges to Wardrop's equilibrium if initial recognition among drivers is distributed widely. Under incomplete information, Wardrop's equilibrium is always globally asymptotically stable regardless of what the drivers' initial recognition is. Paradoxically, the condition for stable equilibrium under incomplete information is more relaxed than that under complete information.
机译:在这项研究中,我们假设司机在日常动态运输情况下选择了基于贝叶斯学习的路线,并开发了网络流的日常动态模型。该模型揭示了使用贝叶斯学习的驾驶员选择经常占用最小旅行时间的路线。此外,我们发现日常动态模型的均衡点与Wardrop的均衡相同。根据完整信息(当在旅行之后提供有关哪种路线的信息时,何时提供有关哪种路线的最低旅行时间),如果驱动器之间的初始识别被广泛分布,则Wardrop的均衡是全球渐近稳定的,日常动态系统会聚到Wardrop的平衡。在不完整的信息下,无论司机的初始识别如何,Wardrop的均衡总是全局渐近。矛盾的是,在不完全信息下稳定平衡的条件比完整信息下的更加轻松。

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