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Determination and modeling of error densities in ephemeris prediction

机译:星历预报中误差密度的确定与建模

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In this paper we present results of a study of the distribution of errors in the positions predicted by a Special Perturbations orbit propagator for a population of 14 low-earth orbiting satellites. In our study we performed differential corrections and generated ephemerides using data acquired from the US space surveillance network under a high tasking protocol. Errors in the along-track, radial and cros-track directions were extracted by aligning and combining 72-hour ephemerides calculated sequentially for periods of time spanning several months for each satellite. The along-track errors dominate and, together with the radial errors, increase uniformly in time. The growth rate for the along-track errors is correlated with the decay rate of the semi-major axis and the growth rate for the radial errors is correlated with eccentricity.
机译:在本文中,我们介绍了由特殊扰动轨道传播器针对14颗低地球轨道卫星的人口所预测的位置中的误差分布的研究结果。在我们的研究中,我们使用了从美国太空监视网络根据高任务协议获取的数据进行了差分校正并生成了星历表。通过对齐和合并顺序计算的72小时星历,提取每个卫星沿几个月的时间,可以提取沿航迹,径向和cros航迹的误差。沿轨误差占主导,并且与径向误差一起在时间上均匀增加。沿轨道误差的增长率与半长轴的衰减率相关,而径向误差的增长率与偏心率相关。

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