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Fully model based approaches for spatially misaligned data

机译:基于完全模型的空间错位数据处理方法

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In this paper we consider inference using multivariate data that are spatially misaligned, i.e., involving variables (typically counts or rates) which are aggregated over differing sets of regional boundaries. Geographic information systems (GISs) enable the simultaneous display of such data sets, but their current capabilities are essentially only descriptive, not inferential. We describe a hierarchical modeling approach which provides a natural solution to this problem through its ability to sensibly combine informaiton from several sources of data and available prior information. Illustrating in the context of counts, allocation under non-nested regional grids is handled using conditionally independent Poisson-multinomial models. Explanatory covariates and multilevel responses are also easily accommodated, with spatial correlation modeled using a conditionally autoregressive (CAR) prior structure. Methods for dealing with missing values in spatial "edge zones" are also discussed. Like many recent hierarchical Bayesian applications, computing is implemented via a carefully tailored Metropolis-Hastings algorithm. We illustrate our method with a complex data set involving inhalation exposure to radon emanating from a depleted uranium fuel processing plant in southwestern Ohio. Structure counts (obtained from U.S. Geological Survey topographical maps) are used to realign sex- and age group-specific U.S. Census block group population counts onto a 160-cell circular "windrose" centered at the plant.
机译:在本文中,我们考虑使用空间上未对齐的多元数据进行推断,即涉及涉及不同区域边界集合的变量(通常为计数或比率)。地理信息系统(GIS)可以同时显示这些数据集,但是它们当前的功能本质上仅是描述性的,而非推论性的。我们描述了一种分层建模方法,该方法通过其合理地组合来自多个数据源和可用先验信息的信息的能力,为该问题提供了自然的解决方案。在计数的情况下,使用条件独立的泊松多项式模型处理非嵌套区域网格下的分配。解释协变量和多级响应也很容易适应,使用条件自回归(CAR)先验结构建模的空间相关性。还讨论了处理空间“边缘区域”中缺失值的方法。像许多最新的分层贝叶斯应用程序一样,计算是通过精心定制的Metropolis-Hastings算法实现的。我们用复杂的数据集说明了我们的方法,该数据集涉及俄亥俄州西南部贫化铀燃料加工厂的plant暴露的吸入暴露。结构计数(从美国地质调查局地形图获得)用于将针对性别和年龄组的美国人口普查区组种群计数重新排列到以植物为中心的160个细胞的圆形“ windrose”上。

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