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A preliminary proposal for a probabilistic Performance-Based Hurricane Engineering framework

机译:基于概率性能的飓风工程框架的初步提案

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This paper proposes an innovative fully probabilistic Performance-Based Hurricane Engineering (PBHE) approach for risk assessment and design of structural systems located in hurricane-prone regions. The methodology is based on the Total Probability Theorem and disaggregates the risk assessment analysis into independent elementary components, namely hazard analysis, structural characterization, interaction analysis, structural analysis, damage analysis, and loss analysis. The proposed PBHE methodology accounts for the multi-hazard nature of hurricane events by including the separate effects of, and the interaction among, hurricane wind, flood, windborne debris, and rainfall hazard. A review of existing models with the ability to describe the different sources of hazard is performed, and a consistent vector of intensity measures for hurricane hazard analysis is proposed. The PBHE approach illustrated in this paper represents a first step toward a rational methodology for risk assessment and design of structures subjected to multi-hazard scenarios.
机译:本文提出了一种创新的全概率性能飓风工程(PBHE)风险评估和飓风地区结构系统的设计方法。该方法基于总概率定理,并将风险评估分析分解为独立基本组分,即危害分析,结构表征,相互作用分析,结构分析,损伤分析和损失分析。拟议的PBHE方法占飓风事件的多灾害本质,包括单独的效果,飓风风,洪水,风肉排和降雨危害。提出了对现有模型进行审查,具有描述不同危害来源的能力,提出了飓风危害分析的强度措施的一致载体。本文所示的PBHE方法代表了朝着风险评估的理性方法的第一步,以及经受多灾害情景的结构的结构。

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