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NORTHEAST ASIA GAS DEMAND AND TRANSPORTATION IN THE 21st CENTURY

机译:21世纪东北亚的天然气需求与运输

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A continuance of explosive economic development and increasing concern on environment in northeast Asia has stimulated a significant rise in natural gas demand-a high quality primary energy. It is predicated that the gas demand in northeast Asia will likely to reach 330.4 × 10~9 m~3/a by the year 2010, with the demand of China, Japan and South Korea totaling 276 × 10~9 m~3/a. At present, the natural gas supply in Japan and South Korea mainly relies on LNG imports from southeast Asia, Australia, Middle East and Alaska while China depends on domestic production. The current gas supply structure in northeast Asia can hardly meet the expending gas demand in 21st century. East Siberia and Far East of Russia, west of China and Central Asia are rich in natural gas resources and are highly potential to alleviate the gas shortage in northeast Asia in the next century.This paper compares the economic feasibility of gas transportation via pipeline with the transportation via LNG. Results show that pipeline transmission, in most cases, is the best solution. Ways and opportunities for effectively lowering the pipeline cost are presented in this paper, adding that the optimum design is the base for cost reduction. Key technical parameters, such as pipeline diameter, operating pressure, transmission temperature, and compression ratio are influential factors on pipeline cost. Based on extensive calculations and analysis, the optimum range and possible development trend of these parameters are put forward.
机译:爆炸性的经济发展的持续发展以及对东北亚环境的日益关注,刺激了对天然气的需求,即高质量的一次能源的大量增加。预计到2010年,东北亚的天然气需求将可能达到330.4×10〜9 m〜3 / a,而中国,日本和韩国的天然气需求总量将达到276×10〜9 m〜3 / a。 。目前,日本和韩国的天然气供应主要依靠从东南亚,澳大利亚,中东和阿拉斯加进口的液化天然气,而中国则依靠国内生产。当前东北亚的天然气供应结构几乎无法满足21世纪不断增长的天然气需求。西伯利亚东部和俄罗斯远东,中国西部和中亚拥有丰富的天然气资源,在下一世纪缓解东北亚天然气短缺的潜力很大。 本文将天然气通过管道运输与液化天然气运输的经济可行性进行了比较。结果表明,在大多数情况下,管道传输是最佳解决方案。本文介绍了有效降低管道成本的方法和机会,并补充说,最佳设计是降低成本的基础。关键技术参数(例如管道直径,工作压力,传输温度和压缩比)是影响管道成本的因素。在大量的计算和分析的基础上,提出了这些参数的最佳范围和可能的发展趋势。

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