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A computational strategy to access the structural reliability of jackets

机译:一种计算夹克结构可靠性的计算策略

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This paper presents a computational strategy to access the probability of structural failure of offshore jacket platforms owing to overloading. Relating the ultimate system capacity directly to the ultimate overturning moment or ultimate base shear force and assuming their independence from the load-pattern and system capacity parameters, a simple failure function is developed. In this function the structural system capacity is approximated by a polynom as a function of all basic random variables accounting for the structural strength. The extreme environmental loading is defined as an implicit function of the basic random variables accounting for sea state paramenters, hydrodynamic and wind loading. The First Order Reliability Method (FORM) is employed to calculate the probability of structural failure. A jacket model is analyzed by the proposed approach and by a finite element reliability analysis. The results and computational efficiency are compared.
机译:本文提出了一种计算策略,以获取由于超载而导致的海上外套平台结构性破坏的可能性。将极限系统承载力直接与极限倾覆力矩或极限基础剪力相关,并假设它们与载荷模式和系统承载力参数无关,可以开发出简单的破坏函数。在该函数中,结构系统的容量可以通过一个多项式近似为所有考虑结构强度的基本随机变量的函数。极端环境负荷定义为基本随机变量的隐含函数,这些变量考虑了海况参数,水动力和风负荷。一阶可靠性方法(FORM)用于计算结构破坏的可能性。通过提出的方法和有限元可靠性分析来分析护套模型。比较结果和计算效率。

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