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Control of inflation: a singular stochastic control problem

机译:通货膨胀的控制:一个奇异的随机控制问题

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A two-dimensional singular stochastic control problem with an infinite horizon, arising when the Central Bank tries to contain inflation by acting on the nominal interest rate, is studied. It is shown that the problem admits a variational formulation which can be differentiated to lead to a stochastic differential game between the conservative and the expansionist tendencies of the Bank. This result also holds when a finite horizon is used in the model. For the infinite horizon case, substantial regularity of the free boundary associated to the differential game is obtained. Existence of an optimal policy is established and it is shown that the optimal process is a diffusion reflected at the boundary. Numerical results obtained by fitting the model to Canadian data of the past 15 years are given.
机译:研究了当中央银行试图通过名义利率控制通货膨胀时产生的具有无限期的二维奇异随机控制问题。结果表明,该问题承认了一种变差公式,可以将其区别开来,从而导致世行的保守主义倾向和扩张主义倾向之间存在随机的差异博弈。当在模型中使用有限水平时,此结果也成立。对于无限地平线的情况,获得了与微分博弈相关的自由边界的基本规律性。建立了最优策略的存在性,表明最优过程是边界上反映的扩散。给出了通过将模型与过去15年的加拿大数据拟合而获得的数值结果。

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