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An implemented architecture for construction of hybrid intelligent forecasting systems

机译:混合智能预测系统构建的实现架构

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This paper presents an implemented architectural framework for construction of hybrid intelligent forecasters for utility demand prediction. The framework has been implemented as the intelligent forecasters construction set (IFCS) which supports the intelligent techniques of fuzzy logic, artificial neural networks, knowledge-based and case-based reasoning. This tool provides a rapid application development (RAD) environment for constructing forecasting applications. IFCS is also a hybrid-programming tool, which allows developers to implement forecasters by means of object-oriented visual programming, knowledge-based programming and procedural programming. IFCS was implemented on the real-time expert system shell G2, with G2 Diagnostic Assistant (GDA) and NeurOn-Line (NOL) modules. Rules, procedures and flow diagrams are organized into a hierarchy of workspaces. The modularity of IFCS allows subsequent addition of other modules of intelligent techniques. A chief benefit of IFCS is that it allows developers to concentrate on problem solving and conceptual modeling instead of dealing with complicated programming tasks. It also expedites implementation of forecasters. A water demand forecaster for the City of Regina's water distribution system has been created using IFCS. The implementation and forecasting results of this application system will be discussed.
机译:本文为公用事业需求预测的混合智能预测器的构建提供了一个实现的体系结构框架。该框架已被实现为智能预报器构造集(IFCS),它支持模糊逻辑,人工神经网络,基于知识和基于案例的推理等智能技术。该工具提供了用于构建预测应用程序的快速应用程序开发(RAD)环境。 IFCS还是一种混合编程工具,它使开发人员可以通过面向对象的可视化编程,基于知识的编程和过程编程来实现预测器。 IFCS是在具有G2诊断助手(GDA)和NeurOn-Line(NOL)模块的实时专家系统外壳G2上实现的。规则,过程和流程图被组织成工作空间的层次结构。 IFCS的模块化允许随后添加其他智能技术模块。 IFCS的主要好处是,它使开发人员可以专注于解决问题和概念建模,而不是处理复杂的编程任务。它还加快了预报器的实施。使用IFCS已创建了里贾纳市供水系统的用水需求预测器。将讨论该应用系统的实施和预测结果。

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