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Pavement management decision analysis using belief functions in valuation-based systems

机译:基于评估的系统中使用信念函数的路面管理决策分析

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A valuation-based system (VBS) for belief-function theory is applied to pavement management system (PMS) decision-making. The VBS provides a general framework for representing knowledge and drawing inferences under uncertainty. A VBS network is constructed and potentials are introduced in the form of belief functions (or basic probability assignments) in a PMS decision-making environment. A valuation network is another method of representing and solving Bayesian decision problems. It is based on the framework of VBSs. Valuation networks depict decision variables, random variables, utility functions and information constraints. The solution method for the valuation network is called a fusion algorithm, and Dempster's rule of combination can be successfully applied in this framework. It is shown that this approach can capture quantitative, qualitative and incomplete information in PMS decision-making.
机译:基于信念函数理论的基于评估的系统(VBS)被应用于路面管理系统(PMS)决策。 VBS提供了一个通用框架,用于表示不确定性下的知识和进行推论。构建了VBS网络,并在PMS决策环境中以信念函数(或基本概率分配)的形式引入了势能。估值网络是表示和解决贝叶斯决策问题的另一种方法。它基于VBS的框架。评估网络描述了决策变量,随机变量,效用函数和信息约束。评估网络的解决方法称为融合算法,并且Dempster的组合规则可以成功地在此框架中应用。结果表明,该方法可以捕获PMS决策中的定量,定性和不完整信息。

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