Fuzzy Comprehensive Evaluation Model of Water Resources Engineering Risk

摘要

Starting with analyzing the risk factors in water resources engineering, the evaluation system framework of risk targets is set. Combining the layer-analysis method and fuzzy theory together, a multi-layer fuzzy comprehensive evaluation model is built to measure the water resources engineering risk , which can be used to assess and rank all alternative and pursue the risk origins of project selected so as to provide justifications for risk management. Take a reservoir engineering project as an example, the paper has verified the efficiency of the model and shows that it has scientific and practical values.