Sustainable urban transport in Lithuania: influence of land use and socio-economic development

摘要

For sustainable urban transport planning, instead of the direct prediction of transport demand based on tendency prognosis, the connection between influential factors and demand is modeled. The prognosis of influential factors used takes into account the reasons behind public transport demand. Practical realization of such a task demands a detailed analysis of the influence of these factors on the transport demand presented. The influence of factors such as the development of economics, level of motorization, inhabitant density and land use on the transport demand are evaluated. Analysis is performed on the basis of the theoretical expressions of inhabitant mobility and the information of practical investigations.