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TRENDS AND ANNUAL CYCLES IN TURKISH LAKE LEVELS

机译:土耳其湖水位的趋势和年周期

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摘要

It will be of great use to know the regime and tendency of changes in lake water levels in Turkey for both current and future studies, which are of importance for accurate assumptions in future. Therefore, annual Turkish lake levels are analyzed to document some of their variability characteristics in this study. Annual cycles are first computed from monthly means at each individual lake station. The amplitudes and phases of the first harmonics, fitted to monthly lake level means, are displayed in vectorial fashion. Secondly a non-parametric trend test (the Mann-Kendall) is applied to detect possible linear trends in the lake levels. Results of this study are evaluated by considering the impacts of precipitation regime.
机译:了解当前和未来研究中土耳其湖泊水位变化的方式和趋势将非常有用,这对于将来进行准确的假设非常重要。因此,本研究分析了土耳其的年度湖泊水位,以记录其某些变化特征。首先从每个湖台站的月度平均值中计算出年度周期。拟合到月度湖水位平均值的一次谐波的幅度和相位以矢量方式显示。其次,采用非参数趋势测试(Mann-Kendall)来检测湖泊水位中可能的线性趋势。通过考虑降水制度的影响来评估这项研究的结果。

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