An Empirical Study of the Relationship of Import-export and Economic Growth of Sichuan-Chongqing

摘要

Using co-integration,the ECM model and Granger causality test,the paper has a empirical research on the relationship between imports,exports and economic growth on the data of Sichuan-Chongqing from 1990 to 2010.The results show that the structure of external trade has been optimized,External trade and economy have achieved rapid growth; There is a long and short-term dynamic equilibrium between the import,export and economic growth; Economic growth is the cause of expanding import and export,the export is not the cause of economic growth; there is only one-way causal relationship between External Trade and economic growth of Sichuan-Chongqing; There is a short and long-term dynamic equilibrium between the exports and imports,but there is not a causal relationship between them.