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GenCo's integrated trading decision making to manage multimarket uncertainties

机译:GenCo的综合交易决策可管理多市场不确定性

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摘要

Fossil fuel generation companies (GenCos) trade in multiple uncertain energy markets: fuel and carbon markets on upstream side while electricity market on downstream side. Global economic and environmental benefits lead these markets to pursue overlapping goals, making them highly interactive. GenCos may identify optimal trading strategies for upstream and downstream trading in an integrated framework, to manage an overall secure and profitable position. Further, severe unpredictability of energy market prices may necessitate a GenCo to make trading plans which perform better meeting its goals. Under severe uncertainty of involved markets, this paper proposes Information Gap Decision Theory (IGDT) based approach to select three interrelated trading portfolios, in an integrated framework. Results from a realistic case study provide a comprehensive decision insight to address risk-averse and risk-seeking behavior of GenCo, explicitly highlighting importance of co-variation in prices of interactive markets.
机译:化石燃料发电公司(GenCos)在多个不确定的能源市场中进行交易:上游的燃料和碳市场,而下游的电力市场。全球经济和环境利益导致这些市场追求重叠的目标,使其高度互动。 GenCos可以在集成框架中确定上游和下游交易的最佳交易策略,以管理总体安全和有利可图的头寸。此外,能源市场价格的严重不可预测性可能使GenCo必须制定交易计划以更好地实现其目标。在相关市场存在严重不确定性的情况下,本文提出了一种基于信息缺口决策理论(IGDT)的方法,以在集成框架中选择三个相互关联的交易组合。实际案例研究的结果为解决GenCo的规避风险和寻求风险行为提供了全面的决策见解,从而明确强调了互动市场价格中协变量的重要性。

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