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Time series alignment with Gaussian processes

机译:时间序列与高斯过程的一致性

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We propose a nonparametric Bayesian approach to time series alignment. Time series alignment is a technique often required when we analyze a set of time series in which there exists a typical structural pattern common to all the time series. Such a set of time series is typically obtained by repeated measurements of a biological, chemical or physical process. In time series alignment, we are required to estimate a common shape function, which describes a common structural patter shared among a set of time series, and time transformation functions, each of which represents time shifts involved in individual time series. In this paper, we introduce a generative model for time series data in which the common shape function and the time transformation functions are modeled nonparametrically using Gaussian processes and we develop an effective Markov Chain Monte Carlo algorithm, which realizes a non-parametric Bayesian approach to time series alignment. The effectiveness of our method is demonstrated in an experiment with synthetic data and an experiment with real time series data is also presented.
机译:我们提出了一种非参数贝叶斯方法进行时间序列对齐。时间序列对齐是我们分析一组时间序列时经常需要的一种技术,在该时间序列中存在所有时间序列共有的典型结构模式。通常通过对生物,化学或物理过程的重复测量来获得这样的时间序列集。在时间序列对齐中,我们需要估计一个公共的形状函数,该函数描述一组时间序列之间共享的公共结构模式,以及时间转换函数,其中每个函数代表各个时间序列中涉及的时移。在本文中,我们引入了时间序列数据的生成模型,其中使用高斯过程对非常规建模函数和时间变换函数进行了非参数建模,并开发了有效的马尔可夫链蒙特卡洛算法,实现了非参数贝叶斯方法。时间序列对齐。我们的方法的有效性在合成数据实验中得到了证明,并且在实时序列数据实验中也得到了证明。

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