A SYSTEM DYNAMICS ANALYSIS OF FLEET TECHNOLOGY AND POLICY OPTIONS FOR ENVIRONMENTAL IMPACT MITIGATION

摘要

Concerns over the environmental impact of aviation,rnas well as recently proposed and sometimesrnenacted policies that regulate aviation emissions,rnhave fostered the interest of national and internationalrnregulatory and policy making bodies thatrnrely on the understanding of aviation environmentalrnimpacts. Furthermore, research and developmentrnorganizations are interested in assessingrnhow far their technology portfolio can helprnreduce the environmental impact of aviation. Thernrange of current methodologies ranges from lowrnfidelity rapid assessments to high fidelity analysesrnthat require significant data and computationalrneffort to conduct. This paper presents arnmethod that allows improved accuracy of environmentalassessmentsrnin real-time for policy andrndecision makers, by explicity presenting the systemrnmodel structure while allowing interactivernparametric variation of key assumptions.