Foresight communication and new modes of mobility building consistent scenarios for achieving the elusive target electric mobility

摘要

In this paper I aim to combine the theoretical connections between systemic thinking and scenario method [1] as well as the communication and shaping of future mobility systems. This last aim is an inherent task of futures research. We will present the main results of a scenario process for electric mobility in Berlin 2025. Furthermore we set the scenarios in a broader context of new modes of mobility. The power of scenarios consists in the ability to challenge dominating paradigms. [2] But it is not an automatic process. The communication of scenarios as well as the strategic implementation in different policy fields is the true challenge of planning and futures research. The intelligence and reasonableness of this kind of future communication will decide on the successful diffusion of electric mobility and the emergence of new forms of mobility in general.