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Dynamic security assessment of Danish power system based on decision trees: Today and tomorrow

机译:基于决策树的丹麦电力系统动态安全评估:今天和明天

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The research work presented in this paper analyzes the impact of wind energy, phasing out central power plants and cross border power exchange on dynamic security of Danish Power System. Contingency based decision tree (DT) approach is used to assess the dynamic security of present and future Danish Power System. Results from offline time domain simulation for large number of possible operating conditions (OC) and critical contingencies are organized to build up the database, which is then used to predict the security of present and future power system. The proposed approach is implemented in DIgSILENT PowerFactory environment and applied to western Danish Power System which is experiencing a phase of major transformation. The results have shown that phasing out central power plants coupled with large scale wind energy integration and more dependence on international ties can have significant impact on dynamic security of Danish power system in future, if alternative measures are not considered seriously.
机译:本文提出的研究工作分析了风能的影响,逐步淘汰了中央发电厂和跨境电力交换对丹麦电力系统的动态安全性。基于突发事件的决策树(DT)方法用于评估当前和未来丹麦电力系统的动态安全性。针对大量可能的运行条件(OC)和紧急情况,离线时域仿真的结果被组织起来以建立数据库,然后将其用于预测当前和未来电力系统的安全性。所提出的方法在DIgSILENT PowerFactory环境中实施,并应用于正在经历重大转型阶段的丹麦西部电力系统。结果表明,如果不认真考虑替代措施,那么逐步淘汰中央发电厂,大规模风能整合以及对国际关系的更多依赖将对丹麦电力系统的动态安全产生重大影响。

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