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Reliability Probability Evaluation of Wind Turbine Based on Monte-Carlo Simulation

机译:基于蒙特卡罗模拟的风力发电机组可靠性概率评估

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摘要

The three-state Markov equation is built considering run,outage and derating state of wind turbine.The wind turbine reliability of probability assessment has made using Monte Carlo method considering the randomness of wind speed and the failure rate itself.The simulation based on 1.5MW wind turbine is made; the result verified the effectiveness and adaptability of the proposed model and assessment method.
机译:建立了考虑风机运行,停机和降额状态的三态马尔可夫方程。考虑风速的随机性和故障率本身,采用蒙特卡罗方法对风机进行概率评估的可靠性。基于1.5MW的仿真制造了风力涡轮机;结果验证了所提模型和评估方法的有效性和适应性。

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