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Individual and Collective Rationality in Complex Economic Systems

机译:复杂经济系统中的个人理性和集体理性

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Macroeconomics has been preoccupied by the analysis of equilibrium states and their properties. It is assumed that there are mechanisms which will always drive the economy to equilibrium, from which it is perturbed only by exogenous shocks. What is needed however, are models which treat the economy as a complex evolving system which may undergo sudden and radical endogenous changes. The interaction between the individuals and firms in the economy produces aggregate phenomena which are intrinsically different from the behavior of the individuals. Collective results may be more or less ârationalâ than individual behavior. Simulating agent-based models allows us to model the evolution of the economy and the emergence of crises which are absent from standard macroeconomic models.
机译:宏观经济学被均衡状态及其性质的分析所困扰。假定存在始终会推动经济达到均衡的机制,而这种机制只会受到外来冲击的干扰。但是,需要将经济视为一个复杂的,不断发展的内生变化的模型。经济中个人与企业之间的相互作用会产生聚集现象,这些现象本质上与个人行为不同。集体的结果可能比个人的行为“或多或少”“理性”。模拟基于主体的模型,使我们可以对标准的宏观经济模型所没有的经济发展和危机的发生进行建模。

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