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Co-integration Analysis of Urbanization Development and Service Sector Growth in China

机译:中国城市化发展与服务业增长的协整分析

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This paper analyzes the relationship between the urbanization development and the service sector growth of China with the annual statistics data from 1978 to 2010 by means of co-integration theory, error correction model and Granger-causality test. The empirical results show that there exists a long-term equilibrium relationship between the urbanization development and the service sector growth of China. The authors find that the urbanization development Granger causes the service sector growth and has positive effect on it both in the long run and in the short run, whereas the service sector growth dose not Granger causes the urbanization development, which means the service sector growth has no significant effect on the urbanization development.
机译:利用协整理论,误差校正模型和格兰杰因果检验,利用1978年至2010年的年度统计数据,分析了中国城市化发展与服务业增长之间的关系。实证结果表明,中国城市化发展与服务业增长之间存在长期均衡关系。作者发现,城市化发展格兰杰导致了服务业的增长,无论从长期还是短期来看,都对服务业产生了积极的影响,而服务业的增长并非格兰杰导致了城市化的发展,这意味着服务业的增长具有对城市化发展无明显影响。

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