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An overview of US state drought plans: crisis or risk management?

机译:美国州干旱计划概述:危机还是风险管理?

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摘要

Recent severe drought events across the nation have raised our concerns over society's changing and increasing vulnerability to droughts. All levels of governments have taken actions to plan for the slow-onset, long-lasting and spatially extensive drought hazard. The progress of drought planning at the state level is especially impressive over the past decade due to the dramatic growth of drought plans. To date, almost all states have drought plans, but previous studies indicated these plans are still heavily relying on the reactive crisis management approach to deal with ongoing droughts rather than the proactive risk management approach toward building drought resilience. No study so far has empirically examined how well all of these state plans are and to what extent these plans incorporated risk management theory and practices on a national basis. Thus, this study develops a drought risk coding protocol to systematically assess the 44 latest state drought plans' quality in risk management. An inventory of the state drought plans is also established to demonstrate their quality, content and characteristics. The results indicate that state drought plans typically address emergency responses well, while they are generally weak in establishing strong goals, mitigation and adaptation, public involvement, plan updates and implementation. Lastly, recommendations are provided for drought officials to develop, enhance or revise drought plans toward a risk management approach.
机译:全国各地最近发生的严重干旱事件使我们对社会不断变化和对干旱的脆弱性日益增加感到担忧。各级政府已采取行动,为缓慢发作,长期持续和在空间上广泛的干旱灾害作出计划。由于干旱计划的急剧增长,过去十年来,州级干旱计划的进展尤其令人印象深刻。迄今为止,几乎所有州都制定了干旱计划,但是先前的研究表明,这些计划仍然严重依赖于被动危机管理方法来应对持续的干旱,而不是依靠主动风险管理方法来建立抗旱能力。到目前为止,尚无研究以经验方式检查所有这些国家计划的状况以及这些计划在多大程度上结合了国家的风险管理理论和实践。因此,本研究开发了干旱风险编码协议,可以系统地评估44个最新州干旱计划在风险管理中的质量。还建立了国家干旱计划清单,以证明其质量,内容和特点。结果表明,州干旱计划通常能很好地应对紧急情况,而通常在制定强有力的目标,缓解和适应,公众参与,计划更新和实施方面薄弱。最后,为干旱官员提供了建议,以制定,加强或修订干旱计划,以采取风险管理方法。

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