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Evolutionary game analysis of coal-mine enterprise internal safety inspection system in China based on system dynamics

机译:基于系统动态的中国煤矿企业内部安全检测系统进化博弈分析

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摘要

Safety regulation is an important approach to urge coal-mine enterprises to ensure safe production. The existing literature on the analysis of coal mine safety regulation through game methods focuses mainly on external supervision methods such as national and local governments, and lacks research on coal enterprises internal supervision methods. Moreover, these research focus on static analysis of the game between two stakeholders, ignoring the dynamic process of the game. Therefore, this paper explores the use of evolutionary game theory to describe the interactions between the stakeholders in China's coal enterprises internal safety inspection system, which includes the coal-mine owners, the coal-mine safety regulation departments, and rank-and-file miners. Furthermore, the multi-player evolutionary game is simulated by using system dynamics to analyze the stability of stakeholder interactions and the impact of different reward and punishment strategies on the game process and equilibrium state under different scenarios. The simulation results are as follows. First, under the static reward and punishment strategy, increasing the reward and punishment intensity can quickly reduce their unsafe behavior ratio, but at the same time increase the fluctuation in the game. Second, under the dynamic reward and punishment strategy, the stability of the game process is enhanced, but it cannot reach a satisfactory equilibrium value stable state. Last, in order to make the game process with both high stability and high safety behavior ratio, it is necessary to introduce external regulatory forces to act on the internal game system of coal mining enterprises under the dynamic reward and punishment strategy, and at the same time, the punishment intensity of regulation departments and miners should not be the same.
机译:安全监管是敦促煤矿企业确保安全生产的重要方法。现有文献通过游戏方法分析煤矿安全规范的侧重于国家和地方政府等外部监督方法,缺乏煤炭企业内部监督方法研究。此外,这些研究侧重于两个利益相关者之间游戏的静态分析,忽略了游戏的动态过程。因此,本文探讨了进化博弈论描述了中国煤炭企业内部安全检查系统中利益攸关方之间的互动,包括煤矿业主,煤矿安全监管部门和级别档案。此外,通过使用系统动态来模拟多人演进游戏,分析利益相关者互动的稳定性以及不同情景下的游戏过程和衡量策略对游戏过程和均衡状态的影响。仿真结果如下。首先,在静态奖励和惩罚战略下,增加奖励和惩罚强度可以迅速减少不安全的行为比,但同时增加了游戏中的波动。其次,在动态奖励和惩罚战略下,游戏过程的稳定性得到了增强,但它无法达到令人满意的均衡稳定状态。最后,为了使游戏过程具有高稳定性和高安全性的比例,有必要引入外部监管部队,以在动态奖励和惩罚战略下对煤炭矿业企业内部游戏制度行事,同样时间,监管部门和矿工的惩罚强度不应该是相同的。

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