Dynamic Behavior of an SIR Epidemic Model along with Time Delay; Crowley-Martin Type Incidence Rate and Holling Type II Treatment Rate

摘要

In this article, we propose and analyze a time-delayed susceptible-infected-recovered (SIR) mathematical model with nonlinear incidence rate and nonlinear treatment rate for the control of infectious diseases and epidemics. The incidence rate of infection is considered as Crowley-Martin functional type and the treatment rate is considered as Holling functional type II. The stability of the model is investigated for the disease-free equilibrium (DFE) and endemic equilibrium (EE) points. From the mathematical analysis of the model, we prove that the model is locally asymptotically stable for DFE when the basic reproduction number R-0 is less than unity (R-0 < 1) and unstable when R-0 is greater than unity (R-0 > 1) for time lag tau >= 0. The stability behavior of the model for DFE at R-0 = 1 is investigated using Castillo-Chavez and Song theorem, which shows that the model exhibits forward bifurcation at R-0 = 1. We investigate the stability of the EE for time lag tau >= 0. We also discussed the Hopf bifurcation of EE numerically. Global stability of the model equilibria is also discussed. Furthermore, the model has been simulated numerically to exemplify analytical studies.