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首页> 外文期刊>Journal of hydrometeorology >A Particle Batch Smoother Approach to Snow Water Equivalent Estimation
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A Particle Batch Smoother Approach to Snow Water Equivalent Estimation

机译:粒子批处理更平滑方法进行雪水当量估算

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This paper presents a newly proposed data assimilation method for historical snow water equivalent SWE estimation using remotely sensed fractional snow-covered area fSCA. The newly proposed approach consists of a particle batch smoother (PBS), which is compared to a previously applied Kalman-based ensemble batch smoother (EnBS) approach. The methods were applied over the 27-yr Landsat 5 record at snow pillow and snow course in situ verification sites in the American River basin in the Sierra Nevada (United States). This basin is more densely vegetated and thus more challenging for SWE estimation than the previous applications of the EnBS. Both data assimilation methods provided significant improvement over the prior (modeling only) estimates, with both able to significantly reduce prior SWE biases. The prior RMSE values at the snow pillow and snow course sites were reduced by 68%-82% and 60%-68%, respectively, when applying the data assimilation methods. This result is encouraging for a basin like the American where the moderate to high forest cover will necessarily obscure more of the snow-covered ground surface than in previously examined, less-vegetated basins. The PBS generally outperformed the EnBS: for snow pillows the PBS RMSE was similar to 54% of that seen in the EnBS, while for snow courses the PBS RMSE was similar to 79% of the EnBS. Sensitivity tests show relative insensitivity for both the PBS and EnBS results to ensemble size and fSCA measurement error, but a higher sensitivity for the EnBS to the mean prior precipitation input, especially in the case where significant prior biases exist.
机译:本文提出了一种新的数据同化方法,用于利用遥感分数雪覆盖面积fSCA估算历史雪水当量SWE。新提出的方法由粒子批处理平滑器(PBS)组成,该粒子批处理平滑器(PBS)与以前应用的基于Kalman的集成批处理平滑器(EnBS)方法进行了比较。该方法应用于内华达山脉(美国)美国河流域雪枕和雪道原位验证站点的27年Landsat 5记录。与EnBS以前的应用相比,该盆地的植被更加茂密,因此对SWE的估计更具挑战性。两种数据同化方法都比以前的估计(仅建模)有了显着改进,并且都能够显着降低以前的SWE偏差。使用数据同化方法时,雪枕和雪道站点的先前RMSE值分别降低了68%-82%和60%-68%。对于像美国这样的盆地来说,这一结果令人鼓舞,与以前检查过的,植被较少的盆地相比,中等至较高的森林覆盖率必然会使更多的积雪覆盖的地表蒙蔽。 PBS通常胜过EnBS:对于雪枕头,PBS RMSE类似于EnBS中的54%,而对于雪道,PBS RMSE类似于EnBS中的79%。敏感性测试显示,PBS和EnBS结果对集合大小和fSCA测量误差均相对不敏感,但EnBS对平均先前降水输入的敏感性较高,尤其是在存在明显的先前偏差的情况下。

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