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首页> 外文期刊>Journal of hydrometeorology >Mixture Distributions and the Hydroclimatology of Extreme Rainfall and Flooding in the Eastern United States
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Mixture Distributions and the Hydroclimatology of Extreme Rainfall and Flooding in the Eastern United States

机译:美国东部的混合气分布和极端降雨和洪水的水文气候学

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摘要

Flooding in the eastern United States reflects a mixture of flood-generating mechanisms, with landfalling tropical cyclones and extratropical systems playing central roles. The authors examine the climatology of heavy rainfall and flood magnitudes for the eastern United States through analyses of long-duration records of flood peaks and maximum daily rainfall series. Spatial heterogeneities in flood peak distributions due to orographic precipitation mechanisms in mountainous terrain, coastal circulations near land-ocean boundaries, and urbanization impacts on regional climate are central elements of flood peak distributions. Lagrangian analyses of rainfall distribution and storm evolution are presented for flood events in the eastern United States and used to motivate new directions for stochastic modeling of rainfall. Tropical cyclones are an important element of the upper tail of flood peak distributions throughout the eastern United States, but their relative importance varies widely, and abruptly, in space over the region. Nonstationarities and long-term persistence of flood peak and rainfall distributions are examined from the perspective of the impacts of human-induced climate change on flood-generating mechanisms. Analyses of flood frequency for the eastern United States, which are based on observations from a dense network of U. S. Geological Survey (USGS) stream gauging stations, provide insights into emerging problems in flood science.
机译:美国东部的洪水反映了洪水产生机制的混合,登陆热带气旋和温带系统起着中心作用。作者通过分析洪峰的长期记录和最大日降雨量序列,检查了美国东部的强降雨气候和洪水强度。洪峰分布的主要要素是山地地形的降水机制,陆上海洋边界附近的沿海环流以及城市化对区域气候的影响,从而造成洪峰分布的空间异质性。对美国东部的洪水事件进行了拉格朗日降雨分布和风暴演变的分析,这些分析被用来为降雨的随机模拟提供新的方向。热带气旋是整个美国东部洪峰分布的上尾巴的重要组成部分,但热带气旋的相对重要性在整个区域的空间中变化很大,而且突然变化。从人为引起的气候变化对洪水产生机理的影响的角度研究了洪峰和降雨分布的非平稳性和长期持续性。基于美国地质调查局(USGS)测流站密集网络的观测结果,对美国东部的洪水频率进行了分析,从而洞悉了洪水科学中正在出现的问题。

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