Adaptive neuro fuzzy inference system for compressional wave velocity prediction in a carbonate reservoir

摘要

Compressional-wave (V_p) data are key information for estimation of rock physical properties and formation evaluation in hydrocarbon reservoirs. However, the absence of V_p will significantly delay the application of specific risk-assessment approaches for reservoir exploration and development procedures. Since V_p is affected by several factors such as lithology, porosity, density, and etc., it is difficult to model their non-linear relationships using conventional approaches. In addition, currently available techniques are not efficient for V_p prediction, especially in carbonates. There is a growing interest in incorporating advanced technologies for an accurate prediction of lacking data in wells. The objectives of this study, therefore, are to analyze and predict V_p as a function of some conventional well logs by two approaches; Adaptive Neuro-Fuzzy Inference System (ANFIS) and Multiple Linear Regression (MLR). Also, the significant impact of selected input parameters on response variable will be investigated. A total of 2156 data points from a giant Middle Eastern carbonate reservoir, derived from conventional well logs and Dipole Sonic Imager (DSI) log were utilized in this study. The quality of the prediction was quantified in terms of the mean squared error (MSE), correlation coefficient (R-square), and prediction efficiency error (PEE). Results show that the ANFIS outperforms MLR with MSE of 0.0552, R-square of 0.964, and PEE of 2%. It is posited that porosity has a significant impact in predicting V_p in the investigated carbonate reservoir.