A mathematical model for estimation of optimum broiler production period under the economic conditions of Turkey

摘要

Using mathematical methods and statistical techniques, the present paper explains the current economic characterization of broiler meat production under the economic conditions of Turkey. State of the art of econometrical modelling and the classic method currently used for regulatory decision-making in the world are described. Based on this evaluation; needs for future research are defined. It is concluded from our work that mathematical modelling of economically optimal production time would improve economic profitability. The classical method of economic optimization in animal production would not be suitable for all kinds of economic assessments, and that a range of different approaches is necessary so that the method used is the most appropriate for the data available and for the economic risk characterization issue. Future refinements to classical evaluation should incorporate more clearly the extent of uncertainity and variability in the resulting output. In this study, the basic data used for evaluation were food intake, weight gain, food cost, cumulative weight gain, cumulative chicken cost and marginal net income (MNI). After the mathematical function between production period and MNI was calculated, the optimum production period was predicted. Then, total MNI was estimated by integration of the calculated mathematical function.