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Inference on the Weibull distribution based on record values

机译:根据记录值推断威布尔分布

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摘要

In a record breaking data set, only observations that above or below the normal values are recorded. Examples of this include extreme weather conditions, water levels in dams etc. Analysis of such data has many applications in the fields of insurance, stress testing, meteorological analysis and so on. The logarithm of a Weibull random variable follows the extreme value distribution. The estimation of parameters for such a distribution is also available. It is advisable to deal with Weibull distribution directly since transformed variables may not generate unbiased estimators. To overcome the drawbacks of the present estimation approaches, a new methodology is presented here, to obtain the shape parameter based on pivotal quantity and this can be used to reduce the bias of the scale parameter estimator. Exact confidence intervals for shape parameter and Weibull quantiles can be constructed based on the pivotal quantity. The confidence intervals for the mean and the reliability can be constructed based on generalized pivotal quantities that is a function of observed data and some random variables whose distributions are independent of unknown parameters. The inferences can be extended to stress-strength model. (39 refs.)
机译:在破记录数据集中,仅记录高于或低于正常值的观测值。这样的例子包括极端天气条件,大坝中的水位等。对此类数据的分析在保险,压力测试,气象分析等领域具有许多应用。威布尔随机变量的对数遵循极值分布。也可以估计这种分布的参数。建议直接处理Weibull分布,因为变换后的变量可能不会生成无偏估计量。为了克服现有估计方法的缺点,这里提出一种新方法,以基于枢轴数量获得形状参数,并且可以用于减少比例参数估计器的偏差。可以基于枢轴数量构造形状参数和Weibull分位数的确切置信区间。均值和可靠性的置信区间可以基于作为观察数据和某些分布独立于未知参数的随机变量的函数的通用枢轴量来构造。推论可以扩展到应力强度模型。 (39参考)

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